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Thursday, November 12, 2009
Leaking to Win: Debating National Security Policies in the OpenWhy did AMB Karl Eikenberry's classified cables
on his views of the capability and capacities of the Karzai Government leak to the media?
Internal Executive branch documents
like Eikenberry's assessment and McChrystal's
report on Afghanistan tend to be leaked as consequence of manning a typical Administration
with three types of people, each of whom wants to derail decisions they see as trending the wrong way, and see leaking
as a path, though not necessarily a virtuous one, to gaining the upper hand in a debate:
(1) The True Believer is someone who
cares desperately about an administration's
success and believes the effects of a
policy decision by POTUS may bring about catastrophic consequences
overseas but, more importantly, will bring a catastrophe to the domestic political fortunes of the Administration. The
True Believer normally worked on as a mid-level staffer on the campaign and comes into the Administration often with great
academic credentials, or a good political Godfather from working on the Hill, but precious little practical
experience in national security affairs;
(2) The Long-Serving Bureaucrat is someone with extensive hands-on
experience in national security policy formation,
who has watched Adminstrations come and go, and believes their point of view isn't getting a fair hearing often because Administration politicos are paying more attention to the Hill than they are to
the global security environment. The Bureaucrat would rather opt for establishing and maintaining the
credibility and legitimacy of a standardized national security policy review process but they also know how to adapt
to and overcome political speedbumps; or
(3) The Professional Politician is someone who wants
to force the administration to publicly defend its choices. The Professional Politician
may have some experience in national security affairs and some understanding
of foreign policy issues but those experiences are far outweighed by the politician's sense of how an issue will
play in the media and on the Hill. The politician also casts an eye-towards how the leak will improve
their standing in an Administration as the debate evolves after the leak.
No matter which of
these types of people provided the media the
Eikenberry and McChrystal documents, the POTUS
and the National Security Advisor should take the actions as a warning that they are not building consensus within the government, either for their process or
their preferred course of action.
link
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
White House announces Erin C. Conaton is Nominee for Under Secretary of the Air Force The White House has nominated Erin C. Conaton, currently staff director for the House Armed Services (HASC), as Air Force UnderSecretary. Ms. Conaton joined the
HASC staff in 2001, prior to which she served as Research Staff Director for the DoD's U.S. Commission on National Security/21st
Century (the Hart-Rudman Commission). She holds a bachelor’s degree from Georgetown University’s School of Foreign
Service and a master’s degree from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.
link
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